According to the latest population projections issued by Eurostat, the EU’s population will decrease by 6% between 1 January 2022 and 1 January 2100, equivalent to 27.3 million fewer people.

As a consequence of the mass influx of refugees from Ukraine into the EU as a result of Russia’s aggression against Ukraine, the population is estimated to have reached 451 million persons on 1 January 2023.  Furthermore, the EU’s population is projected to peak at 453 million people in 2026, before decreasing to a projected level of 420 million in 2100.

he share of working-age people (aged 20-64 years) in the EU’s total population is projected to decrease from 59% in 2022 to 50% in 2100.

The share of those aged between 65-79 is expected to rise by 2 percentage points (pp) from 15% to 17%.

The share of those aged 80 years or more is foreseen to more than double, from 6% to 15%.

Eurostat